@jessespector So is the 3/5ths rule.
Author Archives: Jeff Porten
@glennf @jcenters 1968 called, they said they wanted their convention back. (Shit, it’s going to be in Philadelphia.)
@antichrista @jcenters But Trump wasn’t stomped. It’s damn near a tie, and I don’t see Trump losing the narrative over this.
@antichrista @jcenters That’s just it. Open caucus. Easy for community to sway people towards the evangelical candidate.
@jessespector 2000 wasn’t enough to demonstrate that?
@atrios Worked for Bush in FL in 2000.
@glennf How so? I agree that I think he’s unelectable by the mainstream GOP, but I don’t see how Iowa changes that.
@glennf So you’re expecting Trump to win the nomination?
Rambling with two hours to go on calling Iowa. Clinton/Sanders in a virtual tie at 51/49; much the same on the other side with Cruz/Trump/Rubio at 28/25/22. I think this puts the bullet in the campaigns of the rest of the GOP field; excepting Carson, no one else is over 5%.
I’ve been hearing lots of analysis on what happens if so-and-so wins, but little about what happens in the event of a virtual tie. My gut feeling is that Trump beats Cruz and Rubio is the outside longshot, and that Clinton has the logistical edge but maybe not the voting edge.
As for November? Most rational Democrats will have no problem voting for either Clinton or Sanders regardless of primary preference, but I think most rational Republicans are going to have serious issues with any of the top three GOP. *Maybe* Rubio has an outside shot there, but if I agreed with him 100% I’d still have trouble pulling the lever for anyone who puts so much Christ into his campaign.
Am I wrong?
An Unprecedented Threat to Privacy
@GlennF @jcenters The pissing war that broke out this week has people I respect on both sides of it. Wish RD handled it with more class.
@jcenters @GlennF Not news, but it’s annoying. I met him at a conference years ago; he’s the same in person.
@jcenters @GlennF I still have the same reasons as before to think well of some of his qualities, but man, what an arrogant ass.
Spent time defending @RichardDawkins, now reading his endless RTs from sycophantic supporters and somewhat regretting it. @GlennF @jcenters
@bynkii Five bucks if you set those up as actual abbreviations in TextExpander. That’d be a riot.
RT @blakestacey: no words
no words
they should have sent a poet https://t.co/XwFf2L8lmg
@bynkii what’s your semicolon?
@Angry_Drunk I have a list of… *241* McCarthy supporters on Twitter!
@jcenters Agreed, one more to put in the “he’s an ass” column. I wouldn’t call it a defense of molestation. I see his point, & disagree.
@jcenters Had to break my “never follow a link to HuffPo” rule… I have a standing issue with the writers-are-volunteers policy.